2013 July 28 Debrief: Hungarian F1 Grand Prix

Great racing Lewis!
Notwithstanding that deserving drive to victory, Mercedes have gained tremendous advantage from cheating in the sport. The illegal tire test is now on trajectory to be a decisive element for the outcome of the season.
Lewis Hamilton has demonstrated, today, by winning the Hungarian Grand Prix, that the Mercedes illegal test, perhaps combined with the change in construction and compound from the published specification of the formula, also dubiously initiated, has enabled Mercedes to leapfrog to the front of comparative advantage with their machinery.
And they have Lewis.I am reconfiguring the season through a Lewis-Mercedes as the prime package.

Yes, it makes the season more interesting than a Vettel-Red Bull championship, by Monza, yet I am uneasy with it.
In the absense, however, of the dramatic comparative improvement of Mercedes, however, we would have had a Lotus challenging Vettel, followed by Alonso and Kimi, and a trajectory of a slight Kimi-Lotus primacy for packages. What? Very interesting, all by itself.
I brought more focus to this topic in the media, due to the distorted reporting of various aspects of F1 news, such as, but limited to, the carpet-bombing about ‘how disadvantaged we are, by not getting to go in the Young Drivers’ test, just rotten for us, bad for us….blah, blah, blah, Oh, it is so bad for us. We are so disadvantaged…blah, blah, blah’. Why so much in the news?!?

The Public Relations campaign, could be seen by then, in retrospect, as having been launched, long before the actual illegal test itself! This whole thing was planned, way back, probably at some time during the past year, they had to take a design direction decision, and subsequently had to rebuild the project plan, pushing the design details to use the tires, further out in the timeline, to a point in time, DURING the racing season. Then it would be down to superlative, ice cold project planning with the expanded range of variables, into the governance structure of the FIA.

Then it would simply be a matter of execution of the plan, probably expensive, obviously risky, but even the down side calculated into the formula.
I don’t know what is really going on here, but that’s what it looks like.

The absurdly lenient penalty for breach of rules, bespeaks a superior strategic capability, and understanding of the mechanics of the system of governance in the sport, specifically the FIA; they knew all the soft spots, and pushed it right to the limit; it’s comparable to Vettel’s sublime performance in Hungary 2012!
They got away with it.
Now, they may win one or more of the championships!
What ever you think of Red Bull, they’ve never done anything like this, known to I. Maybe they may have, but not in the public arena. What Red Bull has done, in design, their comparative advantage, is design to the tests for the regulations, not to any kind of interpretive fuzzy area, short of that. Is that cheating? In a way, that is the line, for me. The design parameters are defined by the constraints of the tests for the rules; the rules themselves are interpretive, anchored by the objectivity of the tests. So it is a philosophical value, what one thinks the line of regulations are. They just removed the philosophical margin inherent in the regulations. I don’t think that is cheating.
Who knows what else Red Bull did, but they didn’t conduct an illegal 2000km test!
Even if there is anything beyond the absurdly statistically improbable ratio of mechanical errors that Mark Webber gets on his Red Bull, compared to mechanical errors that Sebastian Vettel gets on his Red Bull.
But, Holy s#1+! Mercedes pushes the centre of their focus of competitive efforts to pushing as far beyond the limits of the FIA system of governance, and get away with it.
That’s too much!
Is this what F1 is becoming, a reality show serial about survival of the strongest in a contrived corporate play ground of Formula One racing?!?
I’d rather see Vettel win a fourth world championship, and for Red Bull, at Monza, as tediously repetitive as that would be.


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